Demographic situation in a depopulated region of the Russian federation (the Saratov region case)

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详细

Depopulation of the population, exacerbating the problem of low population in vast territories of the Russian Federation, is a key challenge of the 21st century. An example of this problem is the Saratov Region, a territory with a borderline geostrategic status, whose demographic situation is characterized by large–scale population declines, especially rural ones. The decrease in the number of residents of the region is due more to natural decline than migration. Migration outflow is more noticeable in rural areas. The decline in the birth rate is due to the narrowing and aging of the reproductively capable female population, and a decrease in the number of first and second births. Territorial differences in demographic indicators are related to the ethnic composition of the population and the degree of remoteness/proximity to the Greater Saratov agglomeration. The cluster «high birth rate – high migration outflow» consists of the eastern regions near the border with Kazakhstan with a high proportion of densely populated Muslim ethnic groups. The cluster «very low birth rate – high migration decline» is formed by the smallest western regions of the region with an absolute predominance of the Russian population. Both clusters are geographically the most remote from the regional center with a rural type of settlement. Comprehensive measures are needed to overcome negative demographic trends, taking into account age and territorial transformations in the female reproductive population structure.

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作者简介

Larisa Loginova

Saratov State Law Academy of Law

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: lvloginova66@mail.ru

Dr. Sci. (Sociol.), Prof., Chair of Philosophy

俄罗斯联邦, Saratov

参考

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2. Fig. 1. Population growth (decline) in the Russian Federation, Volga Federal District and Saratov Region in 2017–2024, per year, in %

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3. Fig. 2. Population growth (decline) in the Saratov region for 2017–2024, per year, in %

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4. Fig. 3. Coefficients of general, natural and migration increase (decrease) of the population of the Saratov region in 2017–2023, at the end of the year, in per mille

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5. Fig. 4. Coefficients of natural and migration growth of urban and rural population of the Saratov region in 2017–2023, in ppm

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6. Fig. 5. The share of four large age groups of the female reproductive contingent in the total urban and rural female population of reproductive age in the Saratov region in 2017 and 2024, in %

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7. Fig. 6. Births in the Saratov region by age of mother in 2017–2023, in % of all births

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